CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 7, 2024 at 4pm UK
FIFA Technical Centre Butwal
Bermuda2 - 3Dominican Rep.
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bermuda and Dominican Republic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bermuda 1-6 Honduras
Monday, June 10 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Monday, June 10 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 4-0 British Virgin I.
Wednesday, June 12 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Wednesday, June 12 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bermuda | Draw | Dominican Republic |
26.33% ( 0.03) | 23.1% ( 0.01) | 50.56% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.37% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
