CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Oct 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Raoul Illidge Sports Complex

Sint Maarten
2 - 3
Saint Kitts

Lake (18'), Kort (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Williams (15', 47', 67')
Freeman (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Sint Maarten and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint Maarten

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Guadeloupe 4-0 Sint Maarten
Sunday, September 10 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: St Lucia 2-0 Saint Kitts
Monday, September 11 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.05%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result
Sint Maarten	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
29.32% ( 0.01)	21.43%	49.25% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 68.12% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.06% (

0.01)

30.94% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.68% (

0.01)

52.32% (

-0.01)

Sint Maarten Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44% (

0.01)

21.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.36% (

0.02)

54.64% (

-0.02)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.84% (

13.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.16% (

-0)

39.84% (

Score Analysis

Sint Maarten 29.32%

Saint Kitts and Nevis 49.25%

Draw 21.43%

Sint Maarten	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.32%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.43%	1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.64% 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.25% 3-4 @ 1.2% 2-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.24% Total : 49.25%