CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 8, 2023 at 12am UK
Saint Kitts1 - 2Guadeloupe
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Guadeloupe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jamaica 5-0 Saint Kitts
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-3 Guatemala
Tuesday, July 4 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Tuesday, July 4 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 8.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.63%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 2-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Guadeloupe |
8.8% ( -0) | 13.99% ( -0) | 77.2% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
