CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 15, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion
Suriname0 - 1Canada
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Suriname 5-1 Guyana
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: Suriname 0-2 Canada
It is a tough ask for Suriname to overcome Canada over two legs, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a routine away victory for the Reds, who can call upon the superior quality all across the field. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
Result | ||
Suriname | Draw | Canada |
56.08% ( -0.04) | 22.78% ( 0.01) | 21.15% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.21% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.72% ( -0.02) | 45.29% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.38% ( -0.02) | 67.63% ( 0.02) |
Suriname Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( -0.02) | 15.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.74% ( -0.03) | 45.27% ( 0.04) |
Canada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.51% ( 0.02) | 35.49% ( -0.02) |