Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Panama had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canada in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Canada.
0.57) 
-0.66) 
