MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:37:36| >> :60:0:0:
Canada national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Panama national football team

Canada
2 - 1
Panama

Larin (44'), David (87')
Eustaquio (35'), Choiniere (51'), Cornelius (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fajardo (69')
Ayarza (12'), Joel Barcenas (41'), Gondola (58'), Fajardo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Canada and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Canada
Wednesday, September 11 at 2am in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina359
2Canada3-14
3Chile3-12
4Peru3-31

Panama

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90

We said: Canada 2-0 Panama

 Panama demonstrated during the recent Copa America that they are an improving outfit, but Canada can call upon the greater quality all over the field, and we are expecting a home success in Tuesday's friendly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Panama had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canada in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Canada.

Result
CanadaDrawPanama
43.85% (0.567 0.57) 24.65% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 31.49% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (-0.695 -0.7)45.26% (0.698 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-0.669 -0.67)67.6% (0.672 0.67)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)20.73% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)53.34% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)27.32% (0.764 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (-0.996 -1)62.77% (0.999 1)
Score Analysis
    Canada 43.85%
    Panama 31.49%
    Draw 24.65%
CanadaDrawPanama
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.254 0.25)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.85%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.168 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.49%

How you voted: Canada vs Panama

Canada
83.0%
Draw
11.3%
Panama
5.7%
53
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 12am
Semi-Finals
Panama
0-2
Canada

Blackman (41'), Carrasquilla (62'), Godoy (89')
Davis (89')
David (25'), Davies (69')
> Preview
Jun 6, 2022 12am
International Friendly
Canada
0-0
Panama
> Preview
Mar 31, 2022 2.05am
Third Round
Panama
1-0
Canada
Torres (49')
Davis (15'), Martinez (47'), Cummings (57'), Carrasquilla (89'), Luis Rodriguez (90+5'), Mejia (90+7')

Cavallini (16'), Osorio (89')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2021 12.30am
Third Round
Canada
4-1
Panama
Murillo (28' og.), Davies (66'), Buchanan (71'), David (78')
Blackburn (5')
> Preview
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