Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Suriname had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Suriname win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.