We said: Suriname 2-0 Guyana
Suriname's only win of their Nations League campaign took place in their reverse fixture against Tuesday's opponents, and with home advantage in their favour, we believe that the hosts will claim another win over Guyana to put themselves in contention for a top-two finish.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 72.83%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.