Atletico Baleares
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Martinez (17', 76')
Tanque (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendez (67')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Baleares and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atletico Baleares 0-3 Celta Vigo

The obvious gulf in class should result in an extra urgency in the home side's performance, something which may trouble their more illustrious visitors. Nevertheless, we can still only see a comfortable win for Vigo, regardless of whether they make widespread changes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Atletico Baleares had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Atletico Baleares win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Baleares	Draw	Celta Vigo
21.37%	25.61%	53.02%

Both teams to score 46.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.73%

56.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.69%

77.31%

Atletico Baleares Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.48%

41.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98%

78.01%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.73%

21.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.8%

54.2%

Score Analysis

Atletico Baleares 21.37%

Celta Vigo 53.01%

Draw 25.6%

Atletico Baleares	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 7.76% 2-1 @ 5.28% 2-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.2% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.17% Total : 21.37%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 13.67% 0-2 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-3 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-4 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.14% Total : 53.01%