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Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio El Toralin

Ponferradina
1 - 1
Castellon

Costa Quijano (90+1')
Olivier Doue (51'), Lozano (57'), Esquerdo (115')
FT
(aet)
Flakus Bosilj (45+1')
Calavera Espinach (56'), Vertrouwd (105')
Flakus Bosilj (116')
Ponferradina win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Ponferradina and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Escobedo 0-0 Ponferradina (4-4 pen.)
Wednesday, October 30 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Castellon 2-0 Malaga
Sunday, December 1 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%).

Result
PonferradinaDrawCastellon
46.56% (-0.296 -0.3) 26.12% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.32% (0.249 0.25)
Both teams to score 50.42% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)53.51% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)75.02% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (-0.151 -0.15)22.95% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (-0.218 -0.22)56.73% (0.218 0.22)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (0.18499999999999 0.18)34.56% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (0.197 0.2)71.28% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 46.56%
    Castellon 27.32%
    Draw 26.11%
PonferradinaDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 11.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 46.56%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Ponferradina vs Castellon

Ponferradina
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Castellon
20.0%
5
Head to Head
May 15, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Castellon
0-2
Ponferradina

Bodiger (24'), Galvez (71'), Carlos Garrido Fernandez (90'), Diaz (90+4')
Sielva (45'), Valcarce (88')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ponferradina
1-2
Castellon
Doncel (21')
Ortuno (14'), Lapena (90+9')
rhs 2.0
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