Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Getafe |
58.98% ( -0.02) | 24.04% ( 0) | 16.98% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.61% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.15% ( 0) | 55.84% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.04% ( 0) | 76.96% ( -0) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% ( -0.01) | 18.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( -0.01) | 50.14% ( 0.01) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.68% ( 0.02) | 46.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.03% ( 0.02) | 81.97% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 14.54% 2-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.23% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.97% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 16.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |