MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:40:40| >> :60:75:75:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Alinja Arena
Flamengo

Athletico PR
0 - 2
Flamengo


Fernandinho (33'), Christian (50'), Roque (82'), Cuello (90+7')
Heleno (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Erick (45' og.), Barbosa (90+3')
De Arrascaeta (34'), Sampaoli (34'), Maia (48'), Rodrigues de Souza (67'), Lucas (77'), Barbosa (90+6')
Gerson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 9 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, July 9 at 1am in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo

 Athletico Paranaense know that only a win will do in Wednesday's second leg, but we think that their Copa do Brasil campaign will come to an end against Flamengo. The visitors have lost just one of their last seven away matches in all competitions, and we believe that they will do enough to hold their hosts to a draw, which would secure their place in the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
45.29% (1.667 1.67) 25.44% (0.117 0.12) 29.28% (-1.782 -1.78)
Both teams to score 53.82% (-1.343 -1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (-1.316 -1.32)49.69% (1.316 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-1.188 -1.19)71.71% (1.189 1.19)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.21199999999999 0.21)21.93% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8% (0.319 0.32)55.2% (-0.319 -0.32)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-1.913 -1.91)31.07% (1.913 1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62% (-2.295 -2.29)67.38% (2.295 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 45.28%
    Flamengo 29.28%
    Draw 25.43%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.598 0.6)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.505 0.51)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.279 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.115 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.28%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.329 -0.33)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense
42.9%
Draw
23.8%
Flamengo
33.3%
21
Head to Head
Jul 6, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Flamengo
2-1
Athletico PR
Pedro (55' pen.), Henrique (71')
Pulgar (57'), Wesley (80')
Canobbio (6')
Bento (34'), Andrade (90+6')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Athletico PR
2-1
Flamengo
Roque (29'), Erick (80')
Barbosa (15' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 9pm
Final
Flamengo
1-0
Athletico PR
Barbosa (45+4')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
0-1
Flamengo
Terans (23'), Fernandinho (78'), Moura (79'), Henrique (90+2')
Gomes (29')
Aug 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Flamengo
5-0
Athletico PR
Bruno (56', 59'), Lucas (63'), Lazaro (72'), Pedro (90+2')
Pablo (43'), Souza (44'), Maia (49')

Bueno (54'), Santana (66')
rhs 2.0
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