Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 88.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Aguia de Maraba had a probability of 2.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.37%) and 1-0 (12.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.25%), while for an Aguia de Maraba win it was 0-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.