MX23RW : Friday, June 28 15:01:19| >> :60:196:196:
Sao Paulo
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 24, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Aguia de Maraba

Moura (36' pen.), Erick (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

dos Santos Almeida (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa do Brasil clash between Sao Paulo and Aguia de Maraba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Barcelona
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sao Paulo 3-0 Aguia de Maraba (Sao Paulo to win 6-1 on aggregate)

Regardless of what team is selected for this contest, Sao Paulo should have more than enough quality to successfully negotiate this tie, keeping a clean sheet in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 88.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Aguia de Maraba had a probability of 2.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.37%) and 1-0 (12.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.25%), while for an Aguia de Maraba win it was 0-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result
Sao PauloDrawAguia de Maraba
88.8% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04) 8.92% (0.0191 0.02) 2.29% (0.017 0.02)
Both teams to score 25.09% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (0.031999999999996 0.03)38.88% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)5.8% (0.0019 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.7% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
Aguia de Maraba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
26.64% (0.132 0.13)73.36% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.91% (0.042 0.04)96.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 88.78%
    Aguia de Maraba 2.29%
    Draw 8.92%
Sao PauloDrawAguia de Maraba
2-0 @ 17.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 16.37% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 11.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.015 0.02)
6-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 88.78%
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-1 @ 3.75% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 8.92%
0-1 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 2.29%

Head to Head
May 2, 2024
11.30pm
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Sao Paulo
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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