Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Sao Paulo
22.11% ( -2.58)	25.44% ( -1.19)	52.45% ( 3.77)

Both teams to score 47.43% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

2.19)

54.93% (

-2.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

1.78)

76.21% (

-1.78)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.01% (

-1.22)

39.99% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.36% (

-1.14)

76.64% (

1.13)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

2.56)

20.96% (

-2.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

3.86)

53.72% (

-3.86)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 22.11%

Sao Paulo 52.44%

Draw 25.43%

Vitoria	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.96) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.11%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.68) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.72) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.52) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.42) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.33) Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.44%