Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Vitoria1 - 3Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-1 Vitoria
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria | Draw | Sao Paulo |
22.11% ( -2.58) | 25.44% ( -1.19) | 52.45% ( 3.77) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% ( 2.19) | 54.93% ( -2.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% ( 1.78) | 76.21% ( -1.78) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( -1.22) | 39.99% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.36% ( -1.14) | 76.64% ( 1.13) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 2.56) | 20.96% ( -2.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.28% ( 3.86) | 53.72% ( -3.86) |
| Score Analysis |
Vitoria 22.11%
Sao Paulo 52.44%
Draw 25.43%
| Vitoria | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.96) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.57)3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.11% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.74)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.68)1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.72)1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.52)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.42)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.33)Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.44% |
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2018 11.30pm
