Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 16, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Sao Paulo and Corinthians.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 3-1 Coritiba
Sunday, August 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.6%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | Corinthians |
62.3% ( 0.84) | 23.5% ( -0.25) | 14.2% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 39.5% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.84% ( -0.1) | 58.16% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.19% ( -0.07) | 78.81% ( 0.08) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% ( 0.27) | 18.39% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.46% ( 0.45) | 49.54% ( -0.45) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.4% ( -0.94) | 51.6% ( 0.94) |