Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Audax Italiano win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.