Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 17, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Tolima3 - 0Deportivo Cali
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Cali.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Deportivo Cali had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Deportivo Cali win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportes Tolima would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Deportivo Cali |
| 40.14% | 29.21% | 30.64% |
| Both teams to score 43.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
