Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Arena do Grêmio
Gremio3 - 1Lanus
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gremio and Lanus.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Lanus |
| 56.63% | 21.67% | 21.69% |
| Both teams to score 58.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
