Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 9, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui
Independiente2 - 1Gremio
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
Result | ||
Independiente del Valle | Draw | Gremio |
40.05% | 25.11% | 34.83% |
Both teams to score 57.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% | 46.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.34% | 68.66% |
Independiente del Valle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% | 22.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.2% | 56.79% |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% | 25.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.22% | 60.77% |
Score Analysis |
Independiente del Valle 40.05%
Gremio 34.83%
Draw 25.1%
Independiente del Valle | Draw | Gremio |
1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.4% Total : 34.83% |
How you voted: Independiente vs Gremio
Independiente del Valle
15.8%Draw
21.1%Gremio
63.2%19
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 20:58:08
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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