Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 9, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui
Independiente2 - 1Gremio
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Gremio |
| 40.05% | 25.11% | 34.83% |
| Both teams to score 57.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% | 46.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% | 68.66% |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% | 22.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.2% | 56.79% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% | 25.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.22% | 60.77% |
| Score Analysis |
Independiente del Valle 40.05%
Gremio 34.83%
Draw 25.1%
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.4% Total : 34.83% |
How you voted: Independiente vs Gremio
Independiente del Valle
15.8%Draw
21.1%Gremio
63.2%19
Form Guide
