Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Olímpico Monumental
Gremio1 - 2Independiente
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 58.28% | 22.58% | 19.14% |
| Both teams to score 51.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% | 47.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% | 69.36% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% | 15.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.93% | 45.07% |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.37% | 38.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.63% | 75.37% |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 58.28%
Independiente del Valle 19.14%
Draw 22.58%
| Gremio | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.25% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 5.83% 1-2 @ 5.1% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.14% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Independiente
Gremio
47.1%Draw
29.4%Independiente del Valle
23.5%17
Head to Head
Form Guide
