MX23RW : Sunday, April 27 10:41:41| >> :60:1360:1360:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Independiente del Valle

Lanus
0 - 0
Independiente

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Lanus and Independiente del Valle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union 3-0 Lanus
Sunday, July 3 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Lanus 1-1 Independiente del Valle

Lanus have not been able to settle into a consistent rhythm throughout the year, and their opening leg of this encounter showed their vulnerabilities. While the team from Ecuador never seem to make it easy on themselves, we expect them to do enough to earn a result and advance to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LanusDrawIndependiente del Valle
51.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.8%23.58% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)51.13% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)72.98% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)19.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)36.46% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)73.25% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 51.61%
    Independiente del Valle 23.58%
    Draw 24.8%
LanusDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 9.47% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.28%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.58%

How you voted: Lanus vs Independiente

Lanus
Draw
Independiente del Valle
Lanus
59.3%
Draw
29.6%
Independiente del Valle
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 11.15pm
Independiente
2-1
Lanus
Schunke (45+2'), Ayovi (90+3')
Bauman (11')
Belmonte (60')
Perez (25'), Almiron (69'), Pasquini (75'), Perez (87'), Monetti (88')
rhs 2.0
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