Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.