Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.