We said: Lazio 2-1 Bologna
Averaging over two goals per game this season, Lazio are sure to put Bologna's back line through a thorough test, as they are spoiled for in-form options.
The Rossoblu have proved difficult to beat in Serie A, but their undefeated streak may finally be ended by free-scoring opponents.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
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