Serie A | Gameweek 9
Feb 27, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 1AC Milan
We said: Bologna 1-2 AC Milan
Bologna have dropped eight points from winning positions in Serie A this season, and their confidence must be low after slipping up last week, then being beaten in Birmingham. Therefore, hit-and-miss Milan are well-placed to take advantage of their hosts' woes and secure a third straight win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
36.11% ( -0.04) | 26.73% ( -0.02) | 37.16% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.8% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
