We said: Bologna 1-2 AC Milan
Bologna have dropped eight points from winning positions in Serie A this season, and their confidence must be low after slipping up last week, then being beaten in Birmingham.
Therefore, hit-and-miss Milan are well-placed to take advantage of their hosts' woes and secure a third straight win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%).
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