We said: Empoli 1-1 Atalanta BC
Atalanta have produced the most attempts on target in Serie A this season (140), while Empoli have conceded the most shots overall (381), so the direction of traffic in this clash seems pre-ordained.
The visitors have plenty to prove after recent events, and even a side low in morale should take care of business against ailing hosts who actually perform worse on home turf.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
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