We said: Parma 1-2 Bologna
While Parma are free-falling, Bologna have gained confidence from recent results and are well-placed to inflict more damage on their local rivals.
There could well be a late twist at the Tardini, as these sides have jointly lost the most points by conceding within the last 20 minutes this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
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