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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Lazio logo

Frosinone
2 - 3
Lazio

Lirola (13'), Cheddira (70')
Barrenechea (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zaccagni (38'), Castellanos (57', 62')
Pellegrini (34'), Lazzari (88'), Castellanos (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Udinese
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 1-3 Lazio

Although Frosinone have put 21 of their 24 points on the board at Stadio Stirpe, most came before Christmas. Lazio may be in turmoil, but the Biancocelesti should bounce back under new management, taking advantage of their hosts' dismal downturn. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawLazio
38.84% (0.438 0.44) 25.63% (0.104 0.1) 35.53% (-0.541 -0.54)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.425 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.4% (-0.519 -0.52)48.6% (0.52 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (-0.476 -0.48)70.72% (0.476 0.48)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)59.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.559 -0.56)26.46% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.75 -0.75)61.64% (0.75 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 38.84%
    Lazio 35.53%
    Draw 25.62%
FrosinoneDrawLazio
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.193 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.84%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.53%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Lazio

Frosinone
17.7%
Draw
13.3%
Lazio
69.0%
113
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Lazio
3-1
Frosinone
Castellanos (70'), Isaksen (72'), Patric (84')
Patric (56'), Sarri (57'), Isaksen (78'), Cataldi (90+6')
Soule (58' pen.)
Okoli (74'), Barrenechea (78')
Feb 4, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 22
Frosinone
0-1
Lazio

Ciano (66')
Caicedo (36')
Parolo (29'), Caicedo (44'), Leiva (61'), Strakosha (80'), Durmisi (90')
Sep 2, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Lazio
1-0
Frosinone
Alberto (49')
Parolo (20')

Brighenti (3'), Ghiglione (90')
Feb 21, 2016 5pm
Oct 4, 2015 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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