Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
0 - 1
AC Milan

Sarri (22'), Pellegrini (50'), Romagnoli (58'), Immobile (76'), Hysaj (90')
Pellegrini (57'), Marusic (90+4'), Guendouzi (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Okafor (88')
Florenzi (61'), Adli (70'), Gabbia (80'), Hernandez (84'), Leao (90+5'), Pulisic (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Second-half substitute Noah Okafor scores an 88th-minute winner as AC Milan beat eight-man Lazio in Serie A on Friday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
Monday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	AC Milan
38.22%	27.16%	34.62%

Both teams to score 50.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.91% (

55.09% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65% (

76.35% (

-0)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

27.97% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.39%

63.61%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83%

30.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68% (

66.32% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lazio 38.23%

AC Milan 34.61%

Draw 27.16%

Lazio	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.23%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.61%