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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lazio logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Lazio

Kayode (61'), Bonaventura (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alberto (45')
Guendouzi (67'), Vecino (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-2 Lazio
Thursday, February 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Lazio

Despite mixed results of late, Fiorentina will be relishing the opportunity to leapfrog Lazio in the standings and the hosts are capable of three points on Monday. The Biancocelesti recorded a stellar maximum on the road last time out, but we feel that the visitors will fall short of victory this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLazio
51.91% (0.344 0.34) 24.3% (-0.144 -0.14) 23.79% (-0.197 -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.237 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (0.423 0.42)48.89% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.382 0.38)70.98% (-0.378 -0.38)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.298 0.3)18.81% (-0.295 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (0.494 0.49)50.24% (-0.491 -0.49)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (0.055999999999997 0.06)35.04% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.78% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 51.9%
    Lazio 23.79%
    Draw 24.29%
FiorentinaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.9%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 23.79%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lazio

Fiorentina
21.7%
Draw
34.9%
Lazio
43.4%
129
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Immobile (90+5' pen.)
Lazzari (31'), Rovella (45+2'), Sarri (60'), Zaccagni (66')

Duncan (40'), Ikone (45+2'), Bonaventura (55')
Jan 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lazio
1-1
Fiorentina
Casale (8')
Gonzalez (49')
Oct 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-4
Lazio
Vecino (11'), Zaccagni (25'), Alberto (85'), Immobile (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Fiorentina
0-3
Lazio

Bonaventura (50'), Torreira (55')
Torreira (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Immobile (70'), Biraghi (81' og.)
Leiva (30'), Pedro (45+1'), Lazzari (67'), Patric (83'), Strakosha (85')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Pedro (52')
Cataldi (56'), Alberto (78'), Immobile (81')

Castrovilli (24'), Biraghi (47'), Duncan (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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