Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
51.91% ( 0.34) | 24.3% ( -0.14) | 23.79% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.11% ( 0.42) | 48.89% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% ( 0.38) | 70.98% ( -0.38) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( 0.3) | 18.81% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% ( 0.49) | 50.24% ( -0.49) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.96% ( 0.06) | 35.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.21% ( 0.06) | 71.78% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |