COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Konkola Stadium
Zambia0 - 2Kenya
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Kenya.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Kenya |
36.5% ( 0.18) | 27.38% ( -0.2) | 36.11% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
