MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 12:51:31| >> :60:347:347:
Mozambique national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Wolfson Stadium
Botswana national football team

Mozambique
3 - 1
Botswana

Chamir Ferreira Junior (45+2'), Dario (66'), Joao Candido (90+4')
Eduardo Pedro (30'), Babutsi (69'), Ferreira (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kopelang (20')
Ramotse (40'), Kolagano (47')
Ramotse (44')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Botswana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mozambique 0-0 Eswatini
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Botswana

Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Botswana
Saturday, June 29 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
MozambiqueDrawBotswana
51.53% (2.433 2.43) 27.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 20.93% (-2.469 -2.47)
Both teams to score 40.65% (-2.673 -2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.97% (-2.024 -2.02)63.03% (2.028 2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.51% (-1.489 -1.49)82.49% (1.492 1.49)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.23 0.23)24.82% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (0.316 0.32)59.41% (-0.311 -0.31)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.07% (-3.729 -3.73)45.93% (3.733 3.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.33% (-3.056 -3.06)81.67% (3.06 3.06)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 51.52%
    Botswana 20.93%
    Draw 27.53%
MozambiqueDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 15.88% (1.25 1.25)
2-0 @ 11.06% (0.94 0.94)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.14% (0.467 0.47)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.174 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 51.52%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 11.39% (0.83 0.83)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.42 -0.42)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.638 -0.64)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.484 -0.48)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.319 -0.32)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 20.93%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2024 2pm
Friendlies 2
Botswana
1-1
Mozambique
Seakanyeng (39' pen.)
Amade (90+5')
Nov 16, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Botswana
2-3
Mozambique
Tlhalefang (74'), Ngele (85')
Velaphi (88'), Ditlhokwe (90'), Mangolo (90+2')
Bauque (14'), Ratifo (52'), Muiomo (75')
Dove (82')
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