MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:27:07| >> :60:3035:3035:
Mozambique national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2024 at 11am UK
Wolfson Stadium

Mozambique
0 - 0
Eswatini


Domingos (90+2')
FT

Manyisa (45+1'), Owa Matsebula (66'), Thwala (87')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Eswatini.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Mozambique
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eswatini 0-0 Botswana
Wednesday, June 26 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
MozambiqueDrawEswatini
45.53% (-0.544 -0.54) 28.45% (0.278 0.28) 26.01% (0.263 0.26)
Both teams to score 43.09% (-0.508 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.55% (-0.742 -0.74)62.44% (0.741 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.93% (-0.547 -0.55)82.06% (0.54600000000001 0.55)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.63 -0.63)27.47% (0.626 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-0.821 -0.82)62.97% (0.819 0.82)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.41% (-0.185 -0.18)40.58% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.81% (-0.168 -0.17)77.18% (0.16600000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 45.52%
    Eswatini 26.01%
    Draw 28.45%
MozambiqueDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 14.4% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.15% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.45%
0-1 @ 10.05% (0.219 0.22)
1-2 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 26.01%

Head to Head
May 24, 2022 2pm
International Friendly
Mozambique
0-1
Eswatini
Jul 18, 2021 11am
Third-Place Playoff
Eswatini
1-1
Mozambique
(Aggregate 1-1 | Mozambique win 4-2 on penalties)
Martinho (39')
Candinho (70'), Muze (80'), Shaquille (88')
Mkhontfo (89')
Magagula (42')
rhs 2.0
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