South Africa
1 - 1
Mozambique

Wayne Dortley (39')
Brendon Moloisane (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Labarina Alfandega (65')
Domingos (54'), Dario (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between South Africa and Mozambique.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Last Game: South Africa 3-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Mozambique

All competitions

Last Game: Guinea 0-1 Mozambique
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Mozambique
51.88%	26.68%	21.43%

Both teams to score 43.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.1%

59.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.84%

80.16%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72%

23.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79%

57.21%

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.45%

43.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.25%

79.75%

Score Analysis

South Africa 51.87%

Mozambique 21.43%

Draw 26.67%

South Africa	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 14.77% 2-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 4.35% 4-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.87%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.03% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.43%