COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Zambia2 - 1Comoros
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Comoros.
Form, Standings, Stats
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Malawi
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Comoros |
51.48% ( 0.1) | 26.12% ( 0.05) | 22.4% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
