COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Zambia0 - 1Malawi
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Malawi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Ivory Coast
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Malawi |
53.09% ( 0.02) | 27.46% ( 0.04) | 19.46% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 39.08% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
