MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 10:11:47| >> :60:34:34:
Paderborn logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 5pm UK
Benteler-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

SC Paderborn
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Platte (22'), Conteh (42')
Pieringer (85'), Rohr (90'), Heuer (114')
FT
(aet)
Bittencourt (65'), Weiser (84')
Weiser (68'), Schmidt (95'), Fullkrug (104')
SC Paderborn win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between SC Paderborn and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Paderborn

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: SC Paderborn 3-0 SV Sandhausen
Sunday, October 16 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Mainz
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: SC Paderborn 2-3 Werder Bremen

 Paderborn have been excellent this season and will really be tested by a side in the division above in a game that could go either way. It is certainly a potential banana skin for Werder, who will perhaps hope they are not taken all the way to extra time and penalties in a game which looks like it could go the distance on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%).

Result
SC PaderbornDrawWerder Bremen
45.58% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 22.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 31.93% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 65.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.27% (0.045000000000002 0.05)34.73% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.31% (0.050000000000004 0.05)56.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (0.046999999999997 0.05)15.81% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (0.088000000000001 0.09)44.98% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)21.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)55.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Score Analysis
    SC Paderborn 45.58%
    Werder Bremen 31.93%
    Draw 22.49%
SC PaderbornDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 45.58%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.79%
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.012999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: SC Paderborn vs Werder Bremen

SC Paderborn
0.0%
Draw
22.7%
Werder Bremen
77.3%
22
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
SC Paderborn
3-4
Werder Bremen
Muslija (15' pen., 38'), Platte (57')
Schuster (24'), Klement (35'), Hunemeier (85')
Ducksch (35'), Schmid (60'), Fullkrug (67'), Toprak (86')
Bittencourt (2'), Jung (77')
Aug 15, 2021 12.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-4
SC Paderborn
Schmidt (52')
Friedl (37'), Veljkovic (40')
Platte (9', 17'), Michel (36'), Schallenberg (55')
Schuster (41'), van der Werff (59')
Jun 13, 2020 2.30pm
SC Paderborn
1-5
Werder Bremen
Sabiri (66')
Gjasula (32'), Jans (39'), Michel (63'), Zolinski (78'), Ritter (80'), Sabiri (82')
Klaassen (20', 39'), Osako (34'), Eggestein (60'), Fullkrug (90+2')
Augustinsson (15'), Klaassen (63'), Fullkrug (80')
Dec 8, 2019 5pm
Werder Bremen
0-1
SC Paderborn

Gebre Selassie (84')
Michel (90')
Gjasula (31'), Mamba (41'), Vasiliadis (59'), Collins (84')
Apr 26, 2015 2.30pm
SC Paderborn
2-2
Werder Bremen
Vrancic (25'), Stoppelkamp (27')
Heinloth (33'), Vrancic (72')
Heinloth (78')
Selke (45'), Hajrovic (75')
Bargfrede (35')
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