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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
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Werder Bremen
0 - 1
Freiburg


Malatini (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (75')
Eggestein (36'), Osterhage (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Freiburg

 Given the hosts have struggled to create many big chances this season, they could struggle to produce many opportunities once more on Saturday. However, Freiburg were poor in the final third last time out, and it would therefore not be a surprise if their clash against Werder Bremen was ultimately low scoring. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
33.58% (-0.442 -0.44) 25.81% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 40.61% (0.457 0.46)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)49.7% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.035 -0.04)71.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (-0.294 -0.29)28.17% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14% (-0.376 -0.38)63.86% (0.379 0.38)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.21899999999999 0.22)24.19% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.308 0.31)58.52% (-0.305 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 33.58%
    Freiburg 40.61%
    Draw 25.8%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.58%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.077 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.61%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Freiburg

Werder Bremen
42.6%
Draw
29.8%
Freiburg
27.7%
47
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Werder Bremen
3-1
Freiburg
Ducksch (9' pen.), Njinmah (53'), Malatini (90+3')
Stark (50'), Lynen (89')
Grifo (28' pen.)
Streich (89'), Gregoritsch (90')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-0
Werder Bremen
Philipp (90+6')
Kubler (38'), Hofler (45')

Schmid (6'), Friedl (55')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-2
Freiburg
Philipp (46')
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg
Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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