MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:30:42| >> :60:16:16:
Leipzig logo
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Feb 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Hoffenheim logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Forsberg (8'), Laimer (41'), Werner (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dolberg (76')
Angelino (34'), Tohumcu (40'), Nsoki (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between RB Leipzig and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Stuttgart
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-4 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim

 Although the hosts may make a few more changes to their side than their opponents, Leipzig's defence of their DFB-Pokal title should continue beyond Wednesday evening. Hoffenheim arrive in Eastern Germany on a horrible run of form, which could see their manager lose his job sooner or later if it does not improve soon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
47.59% (-0.355 -0.36) 22.92% (0.144 0.14) 29.49% (0.21 0.21)
Both teams to score 62.64% (-0.379 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.84% (-0.56 -0.56)38.15% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.57% (-0.599 -0.6)60.43% (0.598 0.6)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.343 -0.34)16.38% (0.342 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (-0.622 -0.62)46.01% (0.621 0.62)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-0.146 -0.15)25.08% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)59.76% (0.201 0.2)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 47.59%
    Hoffenheim 29.49%
    Draw 22.91%
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.43% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 47.59%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.049 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.93% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.49%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim

RB Leipzig
88.4%
Draw
8.1%
Hoffenheim
3.5%
86
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
1-3
RB Leipzig
Rutter (50')
Geiger (13')
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-0
Hoffenheim
Nkunku (5'), Halstenberg (20'), Szoboszlai (44')
Mukiele (76')

Kaderabek (71'), Richards (77')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-0
RB Leipzig
Samassekou (12'), Dabour (68')
Grillitsch (42'), Nordtveit (90+3')

Silva (35'), Angelino (84')
Apr 16, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
0-0
Hoffenheim

Posch (46'), Baumgartner (79')
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-1
RB Leipzig

Vogt (50'), Sessegnon (56')
Poulsen (60')
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