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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 24, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Leipzig logo

Schalke
1 - 6
RB Leipzig

Kozuki (56')
Frey (79')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Silva (7', 44'), Henrichs (15'), Werner (45+2'), Olmo (83'), Poulsen (89')
Kampl (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Schalke
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Bayern
Friday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Schalke 04 0-3 RB Leipzig

History does not always repeat itself in football, but Leipzig have posted a trio of goal-laden successes versus Schalke with clean sheets in tow recently and should make lightning strike for a fourth time here. Die Roten Bullen have struggled for inspiration and defensive resilience away from home all season long, but Rose's side have seemingly turned a corner on their travels and should have no problem deepening Schalke's demotion woes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawRB Leipzig
15.02%18.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 66.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.95% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)9.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.36% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 15.02%
    RB Leipzig 66.68%
    Draw 18.3%
Schalke 04DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 4.24%
1-0 @ 3.57%
2-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
3-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 15.02%
1-1 @ 8.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.3%
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 7.55%
0-3 @ 7.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 4.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 66.68%

How you voted: Schalke vs RB Leipzig

Schalke 04
11.5%
Draw
10.1%
RB Leipzig
78.4%
148
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Schalke
0-3
RB Leipzig

Mascarell (27'), Kolasinac (69')
Mukiele (45+3'), Sabitzer (73'), Orban (87')
Sabitzer (82')
Oct 3, 2020 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
Schalke
Bozdogan (31' og.), Angelino (35'), Orban (45+2'), Halstenberg (80' pen.)
Sorloth (84')

Sane (64'), Nastasic (79'), Ibisevic (90+2')
Feb 22, 2020 5.30pm
Schalke
0-5
RB Leipzig

Raman (3'), Harit (43')
Sabitzer (1'), Werner (61'), Halstenberg (68'), Angelino (80'), Forsberg (89')
Laimer (5'), Werner (57'), Upamecano (78')
Sep 28, 2019 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-3
Schalke
Forsberg (83')
Halstenberg (45')
Sane (29'), Harit (43' pen.), Matondo (58')
Caligiuri (86')
Mar 16, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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