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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
15.02% | 18.3% ( -0) | 66.68% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.67% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.05% ( 0.01) | 34.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.07% ( 0.01) | 56.93% ( -0) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.88% ( 0) | 36.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% ( 0) | 72.9% ( 0) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.28% ( 0) | 9.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.64% ( 0.01) | 32.36% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 4.24% 1-0 @ 3.57% 2-0 @ 1.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.68% 3-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.02% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.3% | 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 9.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.55% 0-3 @ 7.41% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.05% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.37% Total : 66.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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