MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:23:28| >> :120:63171:63171:
Burton Albion
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Leicester logo

Burton Albion
0 - 2
Leicester

FT(HT: 0-2)
Iheanacho (6'), Ndidi (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Burton Albion and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Coventry
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Burton Albion 0-3 Leicester City

Leicester are bound to rotate heavily on Wednesday, but they certainly have the strength in depth to comfortably get past Burton Albion, especially with the likes of Iheanacho and Daka fighting to earn their new manager's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.18%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLeicester City
21.2% (1.707 1.71) 20.61% (1.08 1.08) 58.18% (-2.79 -2.79)
Both teams to score 61.89% (-1.159 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (-2.749 -2.75)35.2% (2.746 2.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.78% (-3.122 -3.12)57.21% (3.118 3.12)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)29.69% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)65.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03% (-1.578 -1.58)11.97% (1.574 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.62% (-3.454 -3.45)37.37% (3.45 3.45)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 21.2%
    Leicester City 58.18%
    Draw 20.61%
Burton AlbionDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 5.56% (0.404 0.4)
1-0 @ 4.32% (0.569 0.57)
2-0 @ 2.62% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 21.2%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.679 0.68)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.065 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.473 0.47)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.123 0.12)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.113 0.11)
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.57 0.57)
1-3 @ 6.88% (-0.364 -0.36)
0-3 @ 5.67% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-3 @ 4.18% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-4 @ 3.65% (-0.449 -0.45)
0-4 @ 3.01% (-0.364 -0.36)
2-4 @ 2.22% (-0.276 -0.28)
1-5 @ 1.55% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-5 @ 0.94% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 58.18%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Leicester

Burton Albion
8.9%
Draw
11.1%
Leicester City
80.0%
45
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Burton Albion
0-0
Leicester
Burton Albion win 3-1 on penalties
Oct 29, 2019 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Burton Albion
2-1
Leicester
Akpan (17'), Akins (29')
Maguire (66')
Jul 28, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Burton Albion
1-2
Leicester
Duffy (90')
Vardy (65', 72')
Jan 5, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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