EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Cambridge1 - 0Millwall
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Derby County | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Millwall | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Hull City | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 1 | 3 |
We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Millwall
With both managers likely to rotate as they prioritise their league campaigns, we expect to see a fairly even cup tie. As such, it would be no surprise to see penalties decide the match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Millwall |
31.87% ( 2.18) | 25.16% ( 0.48) | 42.97% ( -2.66) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
