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EFL Cup
Cardiff City logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Colchester United

Cardiff
2 - 2
Colchester

Colwill (19'), Etete (35')
Colwill (78')
FT
(aet)
Akinde (40'), Taylor (44')
Garner (79'), Greenidge (90+7')
Tovide (89')
Cardiff win 2-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Cardiff
Sunday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Championship

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Mansfield
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We say: Cardiff City 2-0 Colchester United

 Although they were denied all three points by a last-minute equaliser, Cardiff showed some very promising signs against Leeds last week, and we expect them to breeze through on Wednesday night. Colchester were very poor in League Two last season, and while it is difficult to gauge whether they have improved since then, they are unlikely to win away against a team two divisions above them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawColchester United
41.1% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 27.23% (0.0030000000000001 0) 31.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.39% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.92% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)77.02% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)26.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)32.56% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.029 -0.03)69.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 41.1%
    Colchester United 31.66%
    Draw 27.22%
Cardiff CityDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.66%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Colchester

Cardiff City
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Colchester United
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2015 7.45pm
Third Round
Cardiff
3-1
Colchester
Ralls (34'), Harris (53'), Jones (60')
Sears (74')
Watt (64')
> Match Report
Mar 15, 2008 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Cardiff
Jackson (71')
Parry (11')
Blake (36')
Floyd Hasselbaink (62')
Dec 8, 2007 3pm
Cardiff
4-1
Colchester
Whittingham (57', 66'), Thompson (52'), Virgo (70' og.)
Jackson (45')
Connolly (31'), Yeates (74')
Dec 2, 2006 3pm
Cardiff
0-0
Colchester
Baldwin (71')
Nov 4, 2006 3pm
Colchester
3-1
Cardiff
McLeod (49'), Cureton (90' pen.), Guy (84')
Izzet (83'), Jones (89')
Chopra (66')
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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