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EFL Cup
Newport County
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
Charlton Athletic

Newport
3 - 1
Charlton

Wildig (63'), Evans (76'), Palmer-Houlden (80')
Coughlan (28'), Wildig (45+5'), Waite (88'), Charsley (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kanu (42')
Hector (27')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Newport County and Charlton Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Newport
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
41.36% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 24.76% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.88% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)44.98% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67%67.33% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)54.93% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)60.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 41.37%
    Charlton Athletic 33.88%
    Draw 24.75%
Newport CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.88%

How you voted: Newport vs Charlton

Newport County
36.8%
Draw
21.1%
Charlton Athletic
42.1%
19
rhs 2.0
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