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Oxford United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Swansea logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Swansea

Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
FT
(aet)
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Oxford United 0-2 Swansea City

A trip to lower-league opposition is just what the doctor ordered for Swansea as they aim to finally post a first win of the season, with Oxford yet to find a golden touch in front of goal. The U's were indebted to a teenage hero at the weekend and can be expected to put out an experienced side here, but we cannot see Swansea suffering a shock early defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
41% (3.305 3.31) 25.19% (0.369 0.37) 33.8% (-3.675 -3.68)
Both teams to score 56.6% (-1.808 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-2.124 -2.12)46.95% (2.124 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (-2.015 -2.02)69.19% (2.014 2.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.738 0.74)22.77% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (1.082 1.08)56.47% (-1.082 -1.08)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (-3.071 -3.07)26.7% (3.07 3.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (-4.238 -4.24)61.96% (4.236 4.24)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 41%
    Swansea City 33.8%
    Draw 25.19%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9% (0.954 0.95)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.389 0.39)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.833 0.83)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.281 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.473 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.136 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.197 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 41%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.446 -0.45)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.8%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Swansea

Oxford United
38.9%
Swansea City
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
Dec 8, 2004 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Swansea

Robinson (4'), Ashton (50')
Ashton (60')
Goodfellow (61')
Gueret (36'), Monk (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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