MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 16:41:32| >> :600:401565:401565:
Oxford United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Swansea logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Swansea

Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
FT
(aet)
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Oxford United 0-2 Swansea City

A trip to lower-league opposition is just what the doctor ordered for Swansea as they aim to finally post a first win of the season, with Oxford yet to find a golden touch in front of goal. The U's were indebted to a teenage hero at the weekend and can be expected to put out an experienced side here, but we cannot see Swansea suffering a shock early defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
41% (3.305 3.31) 25.19% (0.369 0.37) 33.8% (-3.675 -3.68)
Both teams to score 56.6% (-1.808 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-2.124 -2.12)46.95% (2.124 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (-2.015 -2.02)69.19% (2.014 2.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.738 0.74)22.77% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (1.082 1.08)56.47% (-1.082 -1.08)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (-3.071 -3.07)26.7% (3.07 3.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (-4.238 -4.24)61.96% (4.236 4.24)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 41%
    Swansea City 33.8%
    Draw 25.19%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9% (0.954 0.95)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.389 0.39)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.833 0.83)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.281 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.473 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.136 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.197 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 41%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.446 -0.45)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.8%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Swansea

Oxford United
38.9%
Swansea City
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
Dec 8, 2004 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Swansea

Robinson (4'), Ashton (50')
Ashton (60')
Goodfellow (61')
Gueret (36'), Monk (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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