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Oxford United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Swansea logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Swansea

Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
FT
(aet)
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Oxford United 0-2 Swansea City

A trip to lower-league opposition is just what the doctor ordered for Swansea as they aim to finally post a first win of the season, with Oxford yet to find a golden touch in front of goal. The U's were indebted to a teenage hero at the weekend and can be expected to put out an experienced side here, but we cannot see Swansea suffering a shock early defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
41% (3.305 3.31) 25.19% (0.369 0.37) 33.8% (-3.675 -3.68)
Both teams to score 56.6% (-1.808 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-2.124 -2.12)46.95% (2.124 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (-2.015 -2.02)69.19% (2.014 2.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.738 0.74)22.77% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (1.082 1.08)56.47% (-1.082 -1.08)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (-3.071 -3.07)26.7% (3.07 3.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (-4.238 -4.24)61.96% (4.236 4.24)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 41%
    Swansea City 33.8%
    Draw 25.19%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9% (0.954 0.95)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.389 0.39)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.833 0.83)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.281 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.473 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.136 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.197 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 41%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.446 -0.45)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.8%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Swansea

Oxford United
38.9%
Swansea City
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
Dec 8, 2004 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Swansea

Robinson (4'), Ashton (50')
Ashton (60')
Goodfellow (61')
Gueret (36'), Monk (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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