EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Stevenage2 - 1Watford
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Stevenage win 4-3 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Watford 4-0 QPR
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
We say: Stevenage 0-2 Watford
Watford's side will be very different to the one that started against QPR on Saturday, but Stevenage will also not be at full strength on Tuesday evening. There is a big difference in terms of quality between the two squads, and we are expecting the visitors to comfortably progress to the second round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%).
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Watford |
40.75% ( -0.01) | 26.75% ( 0) | 32.5% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.15% ( -0.01) | 53.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% ( -0.01) | 75.31% ( 0.01) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.01% ( -0.01) | 25.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.99% ( -0.01) | 61.01% ( 0.01) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% | 30.93% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.78% | 67.22% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Stevenage 40.75%
Watford 32.5%
Draw 26.75%
| Stevenage | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.75% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.5% |
How you voted: Stevenage vs Watford
Stevenage
30.8%Draw
11.5%Watford
57.7%26
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2021 7.45pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Jul 14, 2016
7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stevenage 
S
vs.
W
Jul 14, 2016 7.45pm
Form Guide
