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AFC Wimbledon
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 0
Palace U21s

Davison (3', 16')
Bugiel (28'), Kalambayi (74'), Jennings (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crystal Palace Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 5-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Crystal Palace Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leeds U21s 1-7 Palace U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 66.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrystal Palace Under-21s
66.86% (2.491 2.49) 17.63% (-2.017 -2.02) 15.5% (-0.481 -0.48)
Both teams to score 61.66% (6.556 6.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.5% (8.895 8.9)30.49% (-8.903 -8.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.21% (9.945 9.95)51.78% (-9.953 -9.95)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.52% (3.07 3.07)8.48% (-3.078 -3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.59% (7.084 7.08)29.4% (-7.092 -7.09)
Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (5.069 5.07)32.62% (-5.076 -5.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83% (5.303 5.3)69.17% (-5.312 -5.31)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 66.86%
    Crystal Palace Under-21s 15.5%
    Draw 17.63%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrystal Palace Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-1.718 -1.72)
3-1 @ 7.76% (0.641 0.64)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-0 @ 6.83% (-2.575 -2.58)
4-1 @ 4.79% (0.947 0.95)
3-2 @ 4.35% (0.873 0.87)
4-0 @ 4.27% (0.337 0.34)
4-2 @ 2.68% (0.808 0.81)
5-1 @ 2.36% (0.705 0.71)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.41 0.41)
5-2 @ 1.32% (0.515 0.52)
4-3 @ 1% (0.392 0.39)
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.376 0.38)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 66.86%
1-1 @ 7.65% (-1.525 -1.53)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.456 0.46)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-1.591 -1.59)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.493 0.49)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.63%
1-2 @ 4.28% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-1 @ 3.1% (-1.152 -1.15)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.402 0.4)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.338 -0.34)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 15.5%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Palace U21s

Olaniyan (10'), Csoka (80')
Rak-Sakyi (57'), Street (83')
Bagueloc'rich (62'), Kirby (65')
rhs 2.0
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