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League One
Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Bolton logo

Crawley
0 - 2
Bolton


Kelley (86'), Mukena (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dempsey (5'), McAtee (78')
Adeboyejo (27'), Evatt (28'), Thomason (59'), Collins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Bolton
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 With little to separate these two sides heading into Saturday's game, the knock-on effect of Crawley losing their manager could just swing this game narrowly in the favour of Bolton, but given the recent defensive frailties of the visitors, it would be a surprise if they kept a clean sheet on the road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBolton Wanderers
29.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 47.8% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)38.48% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)60.77% (0.052 0.05)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)16.42% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.9% (-0.067 -0.07)46.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 29.24%
    Bolton Wanderers 47.8%
    Draw 22.94%
Crawley TownDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: Crawley vs Bolton

Crawley Town
23.1%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
76.9%
13
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Crawley
1-4
Bolton
Rodari (89')
Francomb (12'), Tsaroulla (45'), Nadesan (75'), Powell (79')
Francomb (32')
Sarcevic (9'), Afolayan (26'), Doyle (48'), Isgrove (77')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
0-1
Crawley

Brockbank (41'), Greenidge (64')
Greenidge (90+4')
Francomb (61')
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
Round Two
Crawley
2-1
Bolton
Clarke, Ajose
Afobe
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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