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League One
Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Bolton logo

Crawley
0 - 2
Bolton


Kelley (86'), Mukena (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dempsey (5'), McAtee (78')
Adeboyejo (27'), Evatt (28'), Thomason (59'), Collins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Bolton
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 With little to separate these two sides heading into Saturday's game, the knock-on effect of Crawley losing their manager could just swing this game narrowly in the favour of Bolton, but given the recent defensive frailties of the visitors, it would be a surprise if they kept a clean sheet on the road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBolton Wanderers
29.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 47.8% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)38.48% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)60.77% (0.052 0.05)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)16.42% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.9% (-0.067 -0.07)46.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 29.24%
    Bolton Wanderers 47.8%
    Draw 22.94%
Crawley TownDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: Crawley vs Bolton

Crawley Town
23.1%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
76.9%
13
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Crawley
1-4
Bolton
Rodari (89')
Francomb (12'), Tsaroulla (45'), Nadesan (75'), Powell (79')
Francomb (32')
Sarcevic (9'), Afolayan (26'), Doyle (48'), Isgrove (77')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
0-1
Crawley

Brockbank (41'), Greenidge (64')
Greenidge (90+4')
Francomb (61')
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
Round Two
Crawley
2-1
Bolton
Clarke, Ajose
Afobe
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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