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League One
Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Bolton logo

Crawley
0 - 2
Bolton


Kelley (86'), Mukena (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dempsey (5'), McAtee (78')
Adeboyejo (27'), Evatt (28'), Thomason (59'), Collins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Bolton
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 With little to separate these two sides heading into Saturday's game, the knock-on effect of Crawley losing their manager could just swing this game narrowly in the favour of Bolton, but given the recent defensive frailties of the visitors, it would be a surprise if they kept a clean sheet on the road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBolton Wanderers
29.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 47.8% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)38.48% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)60.77% (0.052 0.05)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)16.42% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.9% (-0.067 -0.07)46.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 29.24%
    Bolton Wanderers 47.8%
    Draw 22.94%
Crawley TownDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: Crawley vs Bolton

Crawley Town
23.1%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
76.9%
13
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Crawley
1-4
Bolton
Rodari (89')
Francomb (12'), Tsaroulla (45'), Nadesan (75'), Powell (79')
Francomb (32')
Sarcevic (9'), Afolayan (26'), Doyle (48'), Isgrove (77')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
0-1
Crawley

Brockbank (41'), Greenidge (64')
Greenidge (90+4')
Francomb (61')
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
Round Two
Crawley
2-1
Bolton
Clarke, Ajose
Afobe
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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