MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 02:29:41| >> :120:53945:53945:
Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Dec 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
4 - 0
Man Utd U21s

Afolayan (68'), Morley (76'), Bakayoko (90+3'), Bradley (90+5')
Iredale (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murray (11'), Bernard (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Manchester United Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Bolton
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Manchester United Under-21s

We are expecting this to be a very competitive match, and both sides will fancy their chances of causing issues in the final third of the field. Bolton will have more experience, though, and we just have a feeling that the League One side will navigate their way into the next round of the competition courtesy of a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawManchester United Under-21s
69.75% (-0.264 -0.26) 17.35% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 12.89% (0.173 0.17)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)35.38% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.59% (0.020000000000003 0.02)57.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.88% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)9.11% (0.056099999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.06% (-0.133 -0.13)30.94% (0.132 0.13)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (0.276 0.28)39.35% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.94% (0.256 0.26)76.05% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 69.75%
    Manchester United Under-21s 12.89%
    Draw 17.35%
Bolton WanderersDrawManchester United Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.14% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 69.75%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.35%
1-2 @ 3.74% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.34% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 12.89%

How you voted: Bolton vs Man Utd U21s

Bolton Wanderers
89.5%
Draw
0.0%
Manchester United Under-21s
10.5%
19
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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