Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.