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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
25.04% ( 0.04) | 25.48% ( 0.02) | 49.47% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.41% ( -0.04) | 52.58% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.76% ( -0.04) | 74.24% ( 0.03) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% ( 0.02) | 35.96% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.26% ( 0.02) | 72.73% ( -0.02) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( -0.05) | 21.27% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.8% ( -0.07) | 54.19% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.04% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 11.83% 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 49.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |