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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Bolton
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Charles (90+4')
Thomason (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (2')
Clarke (67'), Gibson (88'), Finley (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Barrow
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Despite their contrasting league positions, Bristol Rovers have matched Bolton for points over the last three contests. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils, bouncing back from the disappointment of their FA Cup exit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
67.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 18.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 13.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.03% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)40.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.77% (0.0020000000000095 0)11.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (-0.012 -0.01)41.73% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (-0.012 -0.01)78.2% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 67.32%
    Bristol Rovers 13.73%
    Draw 18.94%
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 8.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.1%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.73%

How you voted: Bolton vs Bristol Rovers

Bolton Wanderers
52.0%
Draw
24.0%
Bristol Rovers
24.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Bolton
Harrison (57')
Vela (6'), Spearing (26')
Trotter (56'), Spearing (72'), Madine (75'), Wilkinson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
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Colts
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Saints
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Broncos
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9.05pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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