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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
67.32% ( 0.01) | 18.94% ( -0) | 13.73% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.73% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.03% ( -0.01) | 40.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.64% ( -0) | 63.36% ( 0) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.77% ( 0) | 11.23% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.22% ( 0) | 35.78% ( -0) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.27% ( -0.01) | 41.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.8% ( -0.01) | 78.2% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 67.32% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.94% | 0-1 @ 4.1% 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |